NEC vs AJAX – Prematch 1/12/24
In the upcoming Eredivisie match between NEC Nijmegen and Ajax, analyzing the Asian Handicap market provides insights into potential outcomes.
Head-to-Head Performance:
Historically, Ajax has dominated this fixture. In their last 40 encounters, Ajax secured 28 wins, NEC managed just one victory, and 11 matches ended in draws. Ajax has averaged 2.65 goals per match against NEC, while NEC has averaged 0.85 goals per match against Ajax.
Recent Form:
- NEC Nijmegen: In their last 10 matches, NEC has won 4, drawn 1, and lost 5, with an average of 1.9 goals scored and 1.5 goals conceded per game.
- Ajax: Over the same period, Ajax has recorded 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 goals conceded per game.
Asian Handicap Analysis:
The Asian Handicap market often sets Ajax as the favorite, reflecting their historical dominance. For instance, a common handicap line is Ajax -1, indicating that Ajax would need to win by more than one goal for a bet on them to pay out. Predictions suggest a 62% confidence in Ajax covering a -1 handicap.
Key Considerations:
- NEC’s Home Advantage: NEC has shown resilience at home, winning 3 of their last 8 home games. S
- Ajax’s Away Performance: Ajax has won 4 of their last 8 away games, indicating a strong away presence.
Prediction:
Given Ajax’s superior head-to-head record and consistent performance, they are favored to win. However, NEC’s home advantage and recent form suggest they could keep the match competitive. A narrow victory for Ajax is anticipated, making an Asian Handicap of Ajax -1 a reasonable consideration. Bettors might also explore a -0.75 handicap to account for the possibility of a one-goal margin.
Please remember that all forms of betting carry risks. It’s essential to bet responsibly and consider all factors before placing a wager.
Image Credits: Sofascore.com
