NEC vs AJAX – Post Match 1/12/24

In the Eredivisie match on December 1, 2024, Ajax secured a 2-1 victory over NEC Nijmegen at Stadion de Goffert in Nijmegen. Wout Weghorst was instrumental for Ajax, scoring both goals at the 15th and 48th minutes. NEC’s Søren Hansen found the net in the 13th minute.

Analyzing this outcome in the context of the Asian Handicap market with Ajax at -0.75:

  • Asian Handicap -0.75 Explained: This handicap means half of the stake is placed on Ajax with a -0.5 handicap, and the other half on Ajax with a -1 handicap.
    • Ajax -0.5: For this portion, a win by any margin results in a win.
    • Ajax -1: For this portion, a win by exactly one goal results in a push (stake refunded), while a win by two or more goals results in a win.

Given Ajax’s 2-1 victory:

  • Ajax -0.5: This bet wins, as Ajax won the match.
  • Ajax -1: This bet results in a push, as the one-goal margin means the stake is refunded.

Therefore, with the -0.75 handicap, half the stake yields a win, and the other half is refunded, resulting in a net half-win.

Statistically, NEC had 21 shots compared to Ajax’s 8, with 8 on target for NEC and 6 for Ajax, indicating a competitive match despite Ajax’s victory.

Historically, Ajax has dominated this fixture, winning 28 of the last 43 encounters, while NEC has won 3, and 12 have ended in draws.

In summary, Ajax’s narrow victory resulted in a half-win for bettors who took Ajax -0.75 in the Asian Handicap market.

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